Survey: Who’s Leading the Race for County Executive?
ST. LOUIS (KMOX) – Wondering who’s winning the race for St. Louis County Executive?
Steve Stenger holds a 13-point lead (with a 3.9 percent margin-of-error) over County Executive Charlie Dooley, according to a survey done by a Republican pollster.
Remington Research Group director Titus Bond says Stenger leads 45-32 in the poll, with 22 percent left undecided.
“Typically what you’ll see in an election is if the undecideds aren’t with an incumbent, they’re not going to break toward the incumbent,” Bond says.
The survey shows Stenger winning in West and South County, with Dooley’s stronghold in North County, and the two splitting the central corridor.
KMOX News asked Bond why they decided to poll this race in particular.
“It’s one of very few interesting primaries in the state of Missouri this cycle,” he says. “There’s a lot of money being spent, a lot of negative ads, and a situation you don’t see very often in Democratic primaries of a challenger going up against a long-established incumbent.”
But there are a lot of questions about who did the survey, and if the numbers are accurate. Bond says, yes, they are a Republican firm, but he stands by the survey.
“We re-ran it over and over, the numbers did not change,” he says. “Our sample size was larger than the typical sample size of doing a survey like this because going into it we knew we would be questioned because we are a Republican-centered firm.”
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